1. Choose an upcoming game
V4.2 research prototype, not a validated prediction model. Previous-season data may include players no longer on the team. Injury feed may be incomplete. If availability cannot be retrieved, simulation is blocked rather than treating everyone as healthy.
2. Lineup & availability review
Automatically loaded ESPN injury statuses appear below. OUT players are excluded; doubtful/questionable players are modeled as uncertain. You may override individual statuses. UNKNOWN is not proof of availability. Starter status is only considered confirmed when the feed explicitly confirms it.
Final score distribution
Win split
Projected player statistics
10,000 player draws using recent box scores and injury-adjusted team projections. Incomplete samples and missing availability data can materially affect estimates.
| Player | Team | PTS | REB | AST | 20+ PTS | 25+ PTS | 30+ PTS | Games sampled |
|---|
🥇 First scorer — includes free throws
Experimental first-points probabilities, including free throws. OUT players excluded; verified starters favored when available. Not a possession-by-possession or calibrated first-basket model.
| Player | Team | First points | Availability |
|---|